Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.362365 0.472049 0.591556 0.729592 0.882966 1.046704 1.233342
2025-08-17 0.178966 0.311319 0.474633 0.681098 0.927153 1.204563 1.535197
2025-08-24 0.088576 0.214429 0.390312 0.630014 0.930698 1.282229 1.712922
2025-08-31 0.042808 0.158066 0.342577 0.611861 0.964149 1.387597 1.916912
2025-09-07 0.020541 0.126231 0.319891 0.619145 1.023400 1.519149 2.147562
2025-09-14 0.006380 0.095735 0.291191 0.612547 1.060815 1.621171 2.340748
2025-09-21 0.000336 0.068079 0.258932 0.595369 1.080436 1.698320 2.501665
2025-09-28 NaN 0.061876 0.264373 0.633597 1.173959 1.867980 2.775127
2025-10-05 NaN 0.059185 0.275974 0.680975 1.279880 2.053428 3.068157
2025-10-12 NaN 0.053885 0.280497 0.716459 1.369010 2.217316 3.334674
2025-10-19 NaN 0.054589 0.298504 0.773751 1.488745 2.420732 3.650392
2025-10-26 NaN 0.051603 0.306963 0.815122 1.586015 2.595242 3.930435
2025-11-02 NaN 0.040418 0.293731 0.822221 1.638414 2.716795 4.151607
2025-11-09 NaN 0.021616 0.249736 0.773212 1.608848 2.731185 4.239454
2025-11-16 NaN 0.008337 0.206045 0.717828 1.565565 2.724275 4.297694
2025-11-23 NaN 0.003159 0.183892 0.698559 1.573506 2.783618 4.438155
2025-11-30 NaN 0.001335 0.176194 0.706319 1.621787 2.896765 4.646948
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000123 0.162107 0.699259 1.646354 2.977299 4.813656
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.143888 0.680826 1.651856 3.031053 4.945364
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.152486 0.721816 1.751541 3.214173 5.244345
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.165343 0.772508 1.866801 3.418880 5.571457
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.172511 0.810403 1.961767 3.595789 5.862782
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.189956 0.871471 2.093705 3.823677 6.220221